He said it: The importance of feeling confident where probability is concerned
Personally, given the resources of geological time, I feel confident that
sooner or later that hypothetical chimpanzee sitting at a typewriter, will one day type Hamlet.
- D. V. Ager, The New Catastrophism: The Importance of the Rare Event in Geological History, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge UK, 1993, p. 149.
Confidence in confidence alone is a heartwarming thing if nothing depends on it.
Hat tip: Stephen E. Jones.